HIV TREATMENT AND PREVENTION REPORT USING CASCADE ANALYSIS IN MAKWANPUR DISTRICT, NEPAL, DURING THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC: A RETROSPECTIVE COHORT STUDY

  • 2025-06-16

Sadikshya Poudel1; Mahesh Dev Bhattarai2; Milan Neupane3

 

1 Program Manager, Makwanpur District ,General Welfare Pratisthan, Gyaneswor, Kathmandu, Nepal

2 Executive Directors, Makwanpur District, General Welfare Pratisthan, Gyaneswor, Kathmandu, Nepal

3 Project Coordinator, Makwanpur District ,General Welfare Pratisthan, Gyaneswor, Kathmandu, Nepal

 

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3126/saarctb.v22i1.72471

Received: 3rd Nov                                   Accepted:21st Nov                                  Published: 31st Dec This article is available at:https://www.saarctb.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/STAC_Journal_2023_VOL21_2024-AUGUST-2.pdf

 

 
  Text Box: ABSTRACT
Introduction: HIV remains a significant public health concern in Nepal, emphasizing the need for effective prevention and treatment strategies. This report provides an overview of HIV treatment and prevention efforts in Nepal, evaluated through cascade analysis.
Methodology: This study analysed HIV prevention and treatment activities implemented by General Welfare Pratisthan in Makwanpur district, Nepal, from January to December 2021. Hotspot mapping identified key locations for interventions targeting female sex workers (FSWs) and priority populations (PPs), including clients of FSWs and other high-risk individuals. Cascade analysis was used to assess the progression of HIV care, including outreach, HIV testing, diagnosis, antiretroviral therapy (ART) enrolment, and viral load suppression.
Results: A total of 333 FSWs and 230 PPs were reached, surpassing the annual targets of 274 by 121% and 228 by 101%, respectively. HIV testing and counselling services were provided to 107 FSWs and 109 PPs, achieving 56% and 68% of the annual targets of 192 and 160, respectively. Individuals who tested positive were promptly enrolled in ART, and the number of those receiving viral load testing and achieving viral suppression also surpassed the targets, demonstrating program effectiveness.
Conclusion: The findings highlight the successful implementation of HIV prevention and treatment activities in Makwanpur, despite the challenges posed by the COVID-19. Cascade analysis proved valuable for tracking progress through the HIV care continuum, offering insights into interventions effectiveness. The continued use of cascade analysis is recommended to strengthen HIV care and prevention efforts in similar settings.
Key words: HIV, HIV prevention, Covid-19, Cascade Analysis
 

 

 

 

 

 

HIV prevalence in Nepal varies across different population groups, indicating a concentrated epidemic.1 According tothe National Centre for

 

AIDS and STD Control, the HIV prevalence rate among adults in Nepal was 0.11% in 2023, with one new case reported daily.2 HIV prevalence is higher among key populations, including people who inject drugs (0.2%), men whohave sex with men (4.7%), female sex workers (2.5%), and clients of female sex workers (7.2%).3 Due to the nature oftheir work, female sex workers (FSWs), are at particularly high risk for HIV transmission, making them a priority group for targeted HIV prevention and treatment efforts.

 

Despite the implementation of various interventions aimed at promoting safer sexual practices, increasing HIV testing,and ensuring access to treatment for vulnerable populations, there remains a significant gap in evaluating their effectiveness. Prior studies have primarily focused on estimating HIV prevalence and identifying at-risk populations but have largely overlooked the operational success and gaps within the HIV care continuum particularly during theCOVID-19 pandemic.4,5

 

Given that the COVID-19 pandemic persisted into 2021, people living with HIV were affected in various ways such as disruptions to healthcare access, interruptions in antiretroviral treatment (ART), changes in health-seeking behavior due to fear of COVID-19, increased mental health challenges, and heightened stigma and discrimination.6 These factors exacerbated the vulnerabilities of people living with HIV. Despite these challenges, there is limited research evaluating how HIV care and prevention programs adapted to these disruptions, particularly in resource-limited settings like Nepal.

 

This report aims to address these gaps by evaluating the effectiveness of HIV interventions targeting FSWs in Makwanpur district during the COVID-19 pandemic. Utilizing cascade analysis, it examines key outcomes across theHIV care continuum, including HIV testing, ART enrollment, and viral load suppression. By highlighting operational challenges and successes, this research provides actionable insights to improve HIV prevention and treatment efforts in similar contexts.

 

 
   
 

 

 

Study Design

 

This study employed a retrospective cohort design to evaluate HIV prevention and treatment activities in Makwanpur district, Nepal. A retrospective cohort design was chosen as it allows for the analysis of existing data to assess outcomes over time. The cohort consisted of high-risk individuals, participated in HIV interventions. This design enabled the evaluation of the effectiveness of HIV programs implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic, usinghistorical data to track progress across the HIV care continuum without the need for new data collection.

 

Study Setting

 

The study was conducted in Makwanpur district, Nepal, an area known for significant challenges related to humantrafficking and high mobility. As one of the twenty-six districts in Nepal with high rates of girls trafficking, Makwanpurserves as a key transit point between Kathmandu and Bihar state in India. Hetauda, the district headquarters, is an industrial hub that attracts a transient population, increasing vulnerability to HIV-related risks such as trafficking, drug use, and sexual exploitation. As a part of EpiC Nepal Project (Meeting Targets and Maintaining Epidemic Control), General Welfare Pratisthan (GWP) is implementing HIV prevention care and treatment services in Makwanpur district. GWP is a non-governmental, non-profit organization dedicated to improving the well-being of marginalized communities in Nepal. Since its establishment in 1993, GWP has been actively engaged in social welfare initiatives, particularly those focused on vulnerable populations, including HIV prevention and treatment efforts.

 

Study Population

 

The study population included both key populations and priority populations. Key populations included female sex workers (FSWs), while priority populations (PPs) comprised clients of FSWs and other high-risk individuals. Thesegroups were identified based on behaviours that increase the risk of HIV transmission, such as unprotected sexual contact, needle sharing, and frequent mobility. The study was conducted in identified “hotspots” within Makwanpur district, an area known for high-risk activities, including unprotected sex and drug use. HIV interventions were implemented throughout the year 2021, from January to December.

 

Variables

 

Independent Variables

  • Risk Behaviours: Unprotected sexual intercourse, alcohol consumption, needle sharing, multiple sexual partners, HIV-positive partners, age under 25, lack of prior HIV testing, and history of sex work.
  • Population Groups: FSWs and PPs, including clients of FSWs and other high-risk individuals.
 
  • Interventions: Educational campaigns, condom distribution, comprehensive sex education, counselling services, andstigma reduction programs.

Dependent Variables

  • HIV Testing: Number and proportion of FSWs and PPs tested compared to targets.
  • HIV Diagnosis: Number of positive HIV tests.
  • ART Enrolment: Number of HIV-positive individuals enrolled in antiretroviral therapy (ART).
  • Viral Load Testing: Number of individuals tested and proportion achieving viral suppression (viral load <1000copies/ml).
  • PrEP Uptake: Number of high-risk individuals prescribed pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP).

Process/Operational Variables

  • Hotspot Mapping: Identification of areas with high concentrations of HIV-related risk behaviours.
  • Program Coverage: Number of FSWs and PPs reached by interventions, compared to targets.
  • Cascade Analysis Indicators: Proportions at each stage of the HIV care continuum (e.g., HIV testing, ART enrolment, viral suppression).

 

Data Collection Procedure

 

Risk Behaviour Assessment: HIV testing was offered to individuals based on risk behaviours such as unprotected sex,lack of previous HIV testing, age under 25, history of sex work, multiple sexual partners, HIV-positive partners, alcohol use, and needle sharing.

 

Hotspot Mapping: Local informants or members of the target population identified areas with concentrated HIV riskbehaviours (e.g., brothels, bars, drug-use areas) using mapping techniques. These locations were validated through triangulation from multiple sources.

 

HIV Testing and ART Enrolment: Individuals identified through hotspot mapping were offered voluntary HIV testing. Those testing positive were enrolled in ART according to national guidelines. Pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) wasalso

 

monitored for high-risk individuals.

 

Viral Load Testing: Individuals who initiated ART underwent viral load testing to monitor treatment efficacy. Viral load suppression (defined as <1000 copies/ml) was used as a marker for reduced HIV transmission risk.

 

Interventions: HIV prevention interventions included educational campaigns, sex education, condom distribution,condom negotiation skills training, counselling, and stigma reduction activities.

 

Data Entry and Analysis

 

Data was entered into a secure database by trained GWP personnel. Cascade analysis was employed to visualize the flow of individuals through various stages of HIV care, from initial contact and HIV testing to ART enrolment and viral load suppression. This method provides valuable insights into intervention effectiveness and tracks progress across key stages of HIV care.7 By identifying gaps in the care continuum, cascade analysis helps measure the success of HIVprevention and treatment interventions, offering crucial data to strengthen on-going efforts in the field.

 

 
   
 

 

 

This study used de-identified program data from the General Welfare Pratisthan (GWP), approved by the Social Welfare Council (Affln. 1366/049/050) through an agreement with Family Health International (FHI 360 Subaward ID#: 1297.0305). The data was collected for public health evaluation purposes, without any direct interventions or participant interactions, ensuring confidentiality. Since the study relied on de-identified, publicly available data, it followed ethical guidelines and was consistent with WHO recommendations, which indicate that studies using public information and posing no risk to individuals are not subject to review by a Research Ethics Committee (REC).8

 

 
   
 

 

 

Individual and/or small group level HIV prevention interventions were successfully delivered to 333

 

female sex workers (FSWs), surpassing the annual target of 274 by 121%, despite challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic. Similarly, standardized, evidence-based interventions, which are programs proven effective in improving outcomes based on research and formal studies, were provided to 230 priority populations (PPs), achieving 101% of the annual target of 228. These interventions focused on promoting HIV prevention behaviors and increasing service uptake. Table 1 and 2 outline the service uptake and outcomes for FSWs and PPs, including HIV testing, positivity rates, ART enrollment, and viral load suppression. The cascade analyses, presented in Figures 1 and 2, further illustrate the flow of FSWs and PPs through each stage of the HIV care continuum.

 

Table 1: The number of Female sex workers (FSWs) reached, tested for HIV, found HIV positive, enrolled for treatment and tested for viral load

Category

Indicator

n

%

Total Reach

Total FSWsreached

333

100

Tested for HIV

107

32.04

HIV Testing

Tested for HIV

107

100

Found HIV positive

3

2.8

HIV

Treatment

Found HIV positive

3

100

Enrolled in ART

3

100

VL Testing*

Tested for VL andreceived result

18

100

Achieved VL suppression (of those tested for VL)

16

88.89

 

Viral Load (VL) Testing* VL testing was conducted for 18 FSWs, which included individuals newly diagnosed with HIV during the reporting period as well as those who were previously diagnosed and already on ART or re-engaged in care.

 

Table 2: The number of Priority Populations(PPs) reached, tested for HIV, found HIV positive, enrolled for treatment and tested for viral load

Category

Indicator

n

%

Total Reach

Total PPs reached

230

100

Tested for HIV

109

47.39

HIV Testing

Tested for HIV

109

100

Found HIV positive

14

12.84

HIV

Treatment

Found HIV positive

14

100

Enrolled in ART

35*

32.11

VL Testing*

Tested for VL andreceived result

132

100

Achieved VL suppression (of those tested for VL)

125

94.7

 

35* PPs initiating antiretroviral therapy (ART) exceeded the number of newly diagnosed cases (14), due to theinclusion of previously diagnosed individuals who were not on ART or had been lost to follow-up before the intervention.

Viral Load (VL) Testing* VL testing was conducted for 132 PPs, which included individuals newly diagnosed with HIV during the reporting period as well as those who were previously diagnosed and already on ART or re-engaged in care.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                                                  

 

Figure 1: Cross-sectional HIV continuum of prevention, care, and treatment cascade for female sex workers in 2021.

 

Orange arrow shows the difference between achieved and target while blue arrow shows the difference within achieved populations.

KP_PREV = Number of key populations (female sex workers) reached with individual and / or small group level HIV prevention interventions designed for the target population

HTS_TST = Number of individuals who received HIV testing services and received their test results HTS_TST_POS =Number of individuals newly identified HIV positive

TX_NEW = Number of individuals newly enrolled on antiretroviral therapy

TX_PVLS (D) = Total number of ART patients enrolled in the program with a viral load result documented in themedical or laboratory records/ LIS within the past 12 months

TX_PVLS (N) = Number of ART patients with suppressed viral load result documented in the medical or laboratory records within the past 12 months